Results · graded in public
Every gap. Every pick. Losses included.
Each time Kalshi sold a team at least 1.5 points below the sportsbooks' fair price, we logged it with the price at that moment, then graded it after the game. Profit assumes $100 on every one at that price, Kalshi's fee included. Tracking since October 21, 2026.
Early days. With 0 graded gaps so far, luck still swings these numbers a lot. The fairest early check is the last line below: did teams win about as often as the fair price said they would? Results firm up after a few hundred bets.
Gaps graded
0
1 logged
Record
0–0
$100 on every gap
—
Wins vs prediction
0 vs 0.0
Kalshi's price implied 0.0
“Wins vs prediction”: actual wins, against how many the sportsbooks' fair odds expected and how many Kalshi's price implied. If our gaps are real, actual wins land closer to the fair-odds number than to Kalshi's.
By gap size
| Gap | Graded | Record | Expected wins | $100 each |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.5–3 pts | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | — |
| 3–5 pts | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | — |
| 5+ pts | 0 | 0–0 | 0.0 | — |
Pick of the Day
Record
0–0
$100 a pick
—
Traps right
0/1
the overpriced team lost
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Gaps are logged automatically by our scanner, not chosen afterward. Past results don't guarantee future ones. Not advice. 21+.